South African table grape forecast drops again

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South African table grape forecast drops again

The South African Table Grape Industry (SATI) has further cut its 2015-16 production estimate by 1.1 million cartons, due to a 'significantly lighter' crop than expected in the Orange River region. grape-1013004_960_720

The updated forecast comes a few days after the group cut the upper end of its estimate.

The forecast from the Orange River region now stands at 18-18.5 million 4.5kg-equivalent cartons - against an earlier estimate of 19.5-20 million.

However, the South African industry is still expecting a year-on-year increase of between 1-4%, with the total estimate now standing at 59.8-61.7 million cartons.

SATI said the lower volumes expected from the Orange River area are largely due to an early season, smaller berry size and particularly warm and dry weather conditions.

"Due to the geography and specific climate of the Orange River Valley, the second largest table grape production region in South Africa, the season is relatively short and full season expectations are significantly influenced by week-to-week intakes and assessments," the group said.

"Prime and Flame Seedless are harvested and were much lighter than anticipated. Sugraone, which is currently being packed, follows the same pattern and even the early pickings of Thompson Seedless realise lighter weights."

The outlook for all other table grape production regions remains unchanged in the latest update.

SATI added the weather conditions in all growing areas were 'ideal' for harvesting and packing, with 'excellent quality' expected from all mid to late season areas.

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